The Russian army is facing a manpower shortage and uncertain prospects for the effectiveness of a new mobilization. Analysts note that even a possible new round of forced conscription will not improve the situation due to significant losses and logistical problems.
Personnel and Logistics Challenges
The Institute for the Study of War (ISW) highlights the need not only to compensate for losses at the front but also to find new personnel to operate drones and defend rear areas from attacks by Ukrainian drones.
The Kremlin is attempting to expand the pool of potential conscripts, in particular by recruiting students and women to work in air defense and drone systems. However, even despite an increase in one-time payments for signing a contract, the rate of contract soldier recruitment in Russia is declining.
Implications for Combat Readiness
Analysts warn that the Russian army already faces serious personnel training issues. A large-scale mobilization could further complicate this situation and negatively impact combat effectiveness.
Additionally, Ukrainian drone attacks are hindering the movement of troops to the front lines and complicating supply operations.
ISW also notes a decline in the effectiveness of the elite "Rubicon" drone center, which once brought success to the Russian army on the front lines but now faces problems with training and system overload.
